1月6日，OpenAI CEO 山姆・奥特曼（Sam Altman）在X 平台发布名为《Reflections（反念念）》的长文博客，再度聚焦 OpenAI 发展历程。
奥特曼回顾 OpenAI 成立以来，叹惜这些年五味杂陈，是其东说念主生中最有设置感却也最累、压力最大的时段，尤其昔时两年更是不昂扬。不外，他心胸感恩，并暗示若能重来，愿以不相同式行状，如今的我方相较一年前已成长为更优秀、更教训的联接者。
进展方面，OpenAI 已确信融会怎样构建传统有趣上的通用东说念主工智能（AGI），且量度 2025 年首批 AI 智能体将 “进攻” 劳能源商场，切实更动公司产出花样，还驯顺向专家擢升优秀用具会催生粗拙效益。预测异日，OpenAI 指标更远，已朝着超等智能迈进。
以下为博客全文及翻译：
The second birthday of ChatGPT was only a little over a month ago, and now we have transitioned into the next paradigm of models that can do complex reasoning. New years get people in a reflective mood, and I wanted to share some personal thoughts about how it has gone so far, and some of the things I’ve learned along the way.
张开剩余94%ChatGPT 两周岁寿辰刚昔时一个多月，如今咱们依然迈入了能够进行复杂推理的模子的下一个范式。新年总会让东说念主堕入千里念念，我想分享一些个东说念主的主意，谈谈到目下为止事情的进展，以及我在此历程中学到的一些东西。
As we get closer to AGI, it feels like an important time to look at the progress of our company. There is still so much to understand, still so much we don’t know, and it’s still so early. But we know a lot more than we did when we started.
跟着咱们越来越接近通用东说念主工智能（AGI），谛视公司的进展嗅觉像是一个关节时刻。仍有诸多需要了解的东西，仍有太多咱们未知的界限，而且当今还为前锋早。但与刚起步时比拟，咱们依然懂得多得多了。
We started OpenAI almost nine years ago because we believed that AGI was possible, and that it could be the most impactful technology in human history. We wanted to figure out how to build it and make it broadly beneficial; we were excited to try to make our mark on history. Our ambitions were extraordinarily high and so was our belief that the work might benefit society in an equally extraordinary way.
大致九年前，咱们创立了 OpenAI，因为咱们驯顺通用东说念主工智能（AGI）是能够完结的，况且它可能会成为东说念主类历史上最具影响力的时刻。咱们想要弄清晰怎样构建它，使其粗拙造福东说念主类；咱们满怀热忱，试图在历史上留住我方的图章。咱们齐人攫金，相同也驯顺这项服务可能会以一种不凡的样式惠及社会。
At the time, very few people cared, and if they did, it was mostly because they thought we had no chance of success.
在其时，简直没东说念主介怀，即便有东说念主介怀，也大多是因为他们以为咱们莫得见效的契机。
In 2022, OpenAI was a quiet research lab working on something temporarily called “Chat With GPT-3.5”. (We are much better at research than we are at naming things.) We had been watching people use the playground feature of our API and knew that developers were really enjoying talking to the model. We thought building a demo around that experience would show people something important about the future and help us make our models better and safer.
2022 年，OpenAI 还仅仅一个肃静栽种的商榷实验室，其时在研发一个暂时被称作 “与 GPT-3.5 对话” 的神色。（咱们搞商榷的武艺可比给神色起名的武艺强多了。）咱们一直在不雅察东说念主们使用咱们应用步伐接口（API）的测试功能，况且了解到诱导者们相当心爱与模子对话。咱们其时以为，围绕这种体验打造一个演示版块，既能向东说念主们展示相干异日的一些蹙迫东西，又有助于咱们把模子改进得更好、更安全。
We ended up mercifully calling it ChatGPT instead, and launched it on November 30th of 2022.
所幸临了咱们将它定名为 ChatGPT，并在 2022 年 11 月 30 日推出。
We always knew, abstractly, that at some point we would hit a tipping point and the AI revolution would get kicked off. But we didn’t know what the moment would be. To our surprise, it turned out to be this.
从概括有趣上来说，咱们一直都知说念，在某个时刻咱们会迎来一个荡漾点，东说念主工智能改进将会爆发。但咱们不知说念那一刻何时到来。令咱们骇怪的是，这个荡漾点等于 ChatGPT 的推出。
The launch of ChatGPT kicked off a growth curve like nothing we have ever seen—in our company, our industry, and the world broadly. We are finally seeing some of the massive upside we have always hoped for from AI, and we can see how much more will come soon.
ChatGPT 的推出开启了一条咱们前所未见的增长弧线，不管是在咱们公司、咱们所处的行业，照旧在更粗拙的天下范围内都是如斯。咱们终于看到了一直以来但愿从东说念主工智能身上获取的一些巨大上风，而且咱们也能预感到，更多的上风很快就会到来。
It hasn’t been easy. The road hasn’t been smooth and the right choices haven’t been obvious.
这通盘走来并退却易。说念路并扞拒坦，正确的采取也并非不言而喻。
In the last two years, we had to build an entire company, almost from scratch, around this new technology. There is no way to train people for this except by doing it, and when the technology category is completely new, there is no one at all who can tell you exactly how it should be done.
在昔时的两年里，咱们简直是从零开动，围绕这项新时刻诞生起了一整个公司。除了切身履行，莫得别的目的来培养职工稳妥这项服务，而且其时刻界限全新未知时，根底莫得东说念主能的确地告诉你该怎样作念。
Building up a company at such high velocity with so little training is a messy process. It’s often two steps forward, one step back (and sometimes, one step forward and two steps back). Mistakes get corrected as you go along, but there aren’t really any handbooks or guideposts when you’re doing original work. Moving at speed in uncharted waters is an incredible experience, but it is also immensely stressful for all the players. Conflicts and misunderstanding abound.
在简直毫无教授的情况下如斯高速地诞生一家公司，历程浩大不胜。频频是前进两步，后退一步（无意以致是前进一步，后退两步）。无答理在前进历程中得到修订，但在首创性服务中，如实莫得什么手册或路标可循。在未知水域中快速前行是一种不可念念议的体验，但对所有参与者来说，亦然压力巨大的。冲破和诬蔑汗牛充栋。
These years have been the most rewarding, fun, best, interesting, exhausting, stressful, and—particularly for the last two—unpleasant years of my life so far. The overwhelming feeling is gratitude; I know that someday I’ll be retired at our ranch watching the plants grow, a little bored, and will think back at how cool it was that I got to do the work I dreamed of since I was a little kid. I try to remember that on any given Friday, when seven things go badly wrong by 1 pm.
这些年是我迄今为止东说念主生中最有设置感、最道理、最好意思好、最招引东说念主、最窘迫、最垂死的几年，尤其是昔时的两年，非常不昂扬。但最横暴的感受是感恩；我知说念，有朝一日我退休后会在咱们的牧场看着植物孕育，粗略会有点枯燥，那时我会回顾起，能从事从小就逸想的服务是何等酷的一件事。在职何一个周五，当下昼 1 点前有七件事都出了大裂缝的时候，我都会试着想起这少量。
A little over a year ago, on one particular Friday, the main thing that had gone wrong that day was that I got fired by surprise on a video call, and then right after we hung up the board published a blog post about it. I was in a hotel room in Las Vegas. It felt, to a degree that is almost impossible to explain, like a dream gone wrong.
一年多前的一个周五，那天出的主要问题是，我在视频通话中霎时被罢黜了，然后咱们刚挂断电话，董事会就发布了一篇对于此事的博客著述。其时我在拉斯维加斯的一个酒店房间里。那种嗅觉，简直难以言表，就像是一场恶梦。
Getting fired in public with no warning kicked off a really crazy few hours, and a pretty crazy few days. The “fog of war” was the strangest part. None of us were able to get satisfactory answers about what had happened, or why.
在毫无预警的情况下当众被罢黜，激励了极其跋扈的几个小时，以及越过跋扈的几天。最奇怪的是那种 “斗争迷雾” 般的浩大情状。咱们谁都没能得到对于所发生之事越过原因的懒散谜底。
The whole event was, in my opinion, a big failure of governance by well-meaning people, myself included. Looking back, I certainly wish I had done things differently, and I’d like to believe I’m a better, more thoughtful leader today than I was a year ago.
在我看来，整件事是包括我我方在内的善意之东说念主在管理上的一次首要失败。回往来事，我诚然但愿我方当初能以不同的样式行事，而且我餍足信托，如今的我比一年前是一个更优秀、更三念念尔后行的联接者。
I also learned the importance of a board with diverse viewpoints and broad experience in managing a complex set of challenges. Good governance requires a lot of trust and credibility. I appreciate the way so many people worked together to build a stronger system of governance for OpenAI that enables us to pursue our mission of ensuring that AGI benefits all of humanity.
我也显豁了，在应付一系列复杂挑战时，一个领有多元不雅点和粗拙教授的董事会是何等蹙迫。淡雅的管理需要多量的信任和公信力。我很感恩有这样多东说念主都心合力，为 OpenAI 诞生起了一个更强劲的管理体系，使咱们能够追求确保通用东说念主工智能造福全东说念主类的服务。
My biggest takeaway is how much I have to be thankful for and how many people I owe gratitude towards: to everyone who works at OpenAI and has chosen to spend their time and effort going after this dream, to friends who helped us get through the crisis moments, to our partners and customers who supported us and entrusted us to enable their success, and to the people in my life who showed me how much they cared.
我最大的成绩是，我有太多要感德的东说念主和事：感谢在 OpenAI 服务、采取虚耗时期和元气心灵追赶这个逸想的每一个东说念主，感谢在危险时刻匡助咱们挺昔时的一又友们，感谢撑握咱们、信任咱们并拜托咱们助力其见效的合作伙伴和客户，以及感谢我性射中那些向我抒发平和的东说念主。
We all got back to the work in a more cohesive and positive way and I’m very proud of our focus since then. We have done what is easily some of our best research ever. We grew from about 100 million weekly active users to more than 300 million. Most of all, we have continued to put technology out into the world that people genuinely seem to love and that solves real problems.
咱们都以愈加配合和积极的样式再行进入服务，从那以后，我为咱们的专注感到相当自大。咱们作念出了一些号称有史以来最出色的商榷效果。咱们的周活跃用户从大致 1 亿增长到了 3 亿多。最蹙迫的是，咱们一直在向天下推出东说念主们忠诚喜爱且能处理本色问题的时刻。
Nine years ago, we really had no idea what we were eventually going to become; even now, we only sort of know. AI development has taken many twists and turns and we expect more in the future.
九年前，咱们真实不知说念我方最终会造成什么样；即使当今，咱们也仅仅略知外相。东说念主工智能的发展历经诸多鬈曲，咱们量度异日还会有更多。
事实上，格哈迪塑料技术公司只是欧洲数百家小型汽车供应商现状的一个缩影。随着欧洲头部车企“进入寒冬”，汽车零部件供应商也感受到了寒意，纷纷裁员数万人，并计划关闭或出售工厂。
Some of the twists have been joyful; some have been hard. It’s been fun watching a steady stream of research miracles occur, and a lot of naysayers have become true believers. We’ve also seen some colleagues split off and become competitors. Teams tend to turn over as they scale, and OpenAI scales really fast. I think some of this is unavoidable—startups usually see a lot of turnover at each new major level of scale, and at OpenAI numbers go up by orders of magnitude every few months. The last two years have been like a decade at a normal company. When any company grows and evolves so fast, interests naturally diverge. And when any company in an important industry is in the lead, lots of people attack it for all sorts of reasons, especially when they are trying to compete with it.
有些鬈曲令东说念主鼎沸，有些则很沉重。看着一连串的商榷名胜不断显示，很挑升念念，许多唱反调的东说念主也造成了真实的信徒。咱们也看到一些共事离开，成为了竞争敌手。跟着公司界限扩大，团队往往会发生东说念主员更迭，而 OpenAI 的界限推广速率极快。我以为有些情况是不可幸免的 —— 初创公司经常在每次界限迈上新台阶时都会出现多量东说念主员流动，而在 OpenAI，每隔几个月，东说念主员数目就会呈数目级增长。昔时的两年，对于一家泛泛公司来说，越过于十年。当任何一家公司发展和演变如斯之快时，利益不合当然就会出现。而且，当任何一家处于蹙迫行业逾越地位的公司，会因为多样种种的原因遭到好多东说念主的袭击，尤其是当他们试图与其竞争时。
Our vision won’t change; our tactics will continue to evolve. For example, when we started we had no idea we would have to build a product company; we thought we were just going to do great research. We also had no idea we would need such a crazy amount of capital. There are new things we have to go build now that we didn’t understand a few years ago, and there will be new things in the future we can barely imagine now.
咱们的愿景不会更动；咱们的计谋将不时演变。举例，一开动咱们没预见要诞生一家居品公司；咱们原以为仅仅要作念伟大的商榷。咱们也没预见需要如斯普遍的资金。当今有一些几年前咱们不了解的新事物需要咱们去构建，异日还会有一些咱们当今简直无法假想的新事物。
We are proud of our track-record on research and deployment so far, and are committed to continuing to advance our thinking on safety and benefits sharing. We continue to believe that the best way to make an AI system safe is by iteratively and gradually releasing it into the world, giving society time to adapt and co-evolve with the technology, learning from experience, and continuing to make the technology safer. We believe in the importance of being world leaders on safety and alignment research, and in guiding that research with feedback from real world applications.
到目下为止，咱们为我方在商榷和部署方面的事迹感到孤高，并悉力于不时股东咱们在安全和利益分享方面的念念考。咱们仍然信托，让东说念主工智能系统安全的最好步伐是迭代式地、缓缓地将其推向天下，给社会时期来稳妥并与这项时刻共同进化，从教授中学习，并不时让这项时刻变得更安全。咱们信托，在安全与对都商榷方面成为天下联接者的蹙迫性，并哄骗来自执行天下应用的反映来率领这项商榷。
We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output of companies. We continue to believe that iteratively putting great tools in the hands of people leads to great, broadly-distributed outcomes.
咱们当今有信心，按照传管辖悟，咱们知说念怎样构建通用东说念主工智能（AGI）。咱们信托，在 2025 年，咱们可能会看到首批东说念主工智能智能体 “加入劳能源商场”，并切实更动公司的产出。咱们仍然信托，迭代式地将出色的用具交到东说念主们手中，会带来伟大的、粗拙散播的效果。
We are beginning to turn our aim beyond that, to superintelligence in the true sense of the word. We love our current products, but we are here for the glorious future. With superintelligence, we can do anything else. Superintelligent tools could massively accelerate scientific discovery and innovation well beyond what we are capable of doing on our own, and in turn massively increase abundance and prosperity.
咱们开动将指标转向更精深的标的，追求真实有趣上的超等智能。咱们谨防现存的居品，但咱们是为了光芒的异日而悉力。有了超等智能，咱们将无所不可。超等智能用具不错极地面加快科学发现和创新，远远超出咱们仅凭本身所能作念到的，进而极地面增多肥沃与郁勃。
This sounds like science fiction right now, and somewhat crazy to even talk about it. That’s alright—we’ve been there before and we’re OK with being there again. We’re pretty confident that in the next few years, everyone will see what we see, and that the need to act with great care, while still maximizing broad benefit and empowerment, is so important. Given the possibilities of our work, OpenAI cannot be a normal company.
这在目下听起来像是科幻演义，以致驳斥起来都有点跋扈。不要紧 —— 咱们以前也履历过这种情况，再次面临也没问题。咱们越过有信心，在接下来的几年里，每个东说念主都会看到咱们所看到的，况且意志到在审慎行事的同期，仍要最大限度地完结粗拙的利益和赋能，是何等蹙迫。鉴于咱们服务的可能性，OpenAI 不可能是一家泛泛的公司。
How lucky and humbling it is to be able to play a role in this work.
能够在这项服务中发达作用，是何等交运和令东说念主谦善啊。
(Thanks to Josh Tyrangiel for sort of prompting this. I wish we had had a lot more time.)
（感谢Josh Tyrangiel促使我写下这篇反念念，真但愿咱们能有更多时期。）
（上述英文内容的中语翻译由东说念主工智能助手豆包产出）加拿大pc28开奖网址
发布于：北京市